The LAFF Society

July 28, 2010

Early Ford Foundation Support for the Grameen Bank: Lessons in Philanthropic Accountability, Risk, and Impact

Filed under: Members' Blog — Treasurer @ 2:08 pm

by Steven Lawry (October 2008)

ABSTRACT

The paper uses a case study of a loan guarantee fund of $800,000 provided by the Ford Foundation to the Grameen Bank in 1981 as a framework for offering reflections on current debates within US philanthropy on accountability, support for innovation, risk taking and impact.  Ford’s loan guarantee fund leveraged commercial bank lending to Grameen Bank.  The subsequent high rates of loan repayment by loan recipients convinced commercial bankers of the viability of Muhammad Yunus’model of lending to poor entrepreneurs unable to provide traditional loan collateral.

The paper develops the concept of “accountability regimes,”and argues that foundations engaged in international poverty reduction are better able, institutionally, to bear risk in support of innovation than multilateral and bilateral aid organizations such as the World Bank and USAID.  That said, recent interviews of a small sample of executives whose foundations fund poverty work abroad suggest ambivalent attitudes toward funding innovative and risky projects.  This is attributed, in part, to high expectations on the part of foundation boards and top executives that foundation-funded programs show positive, early and measurable impact.  The great diversity of the US philanthropic community, and thecommitment of many foundations to important charitable activities that are not necessarily inviting of innovation, further explains a more modest investment by US philanthropy in the kind of innovative work that they are uniquely sanctioned to support.

Encouraging foundations to be more open to supporting innovative initiatives, the paper next offers three operational principles, drawn mainly from the Grameen case study, which foundations might observe in their poverty reduction initiatives.  These are: the strongest ideas are likely to come from individuals and organizations outside of foundations working close to the problems; long-term impact assessments should focus on achievement of administrative and policy reforms in institutions that matter in the lives of poor people and; active and early engagement with governments, the private sector and publicly-funded donors will increase the chances that new ideas, once successfully tested, will bring about systemic change.

Early Ford Foundation Support for the Grameen Bank: Lessons in Philanthropic Accountability, Risk, and Impact

In the 1970s, Muhammad Yunus had this now familiar idea that commercial banks could successfully lend money to poor people in Bangladesh who did not own the kinds of traditional assets, such as titled land and houses, typically needed to collateralize loans. By making loans to individuals through groups of peers and neighbors, a mix of mutual support and social pressure would ensure that individual loans were repaid.  In 1981 Yunus, then an economics professor at Chittagong University, was preparing to test the new lending model on a large scale.  As recounted in his autobiography, Banker to the Poor1,he approached commercial banks in Bangladesh and asked them to capitalize the Grameen Bank’s five-year expansion plan, that aimed to open dozens of branch offices in five rural districts in addition to those in Jobra village and Tangail district, where Yunus had been testing group lending models since 1976 and 1979 respectively.  Grameen was at the time a special project under the Bangladesh Bank, the central bank of Bangladesh, and the ability to raise funds on commercial terms was seen by Yunus as a key test of Grameen’s viability as a banking model and essential to its expansion nationally.2  The commercial banks declined Yunus’ initial request for capital.  Banks have complex accountability regimes (a concept I discuss further below) consisting of depositors, shareholders, and regulators that act to ensure deposits will be safe and the bank will remain solvent.  In the absence of collateral, poor people were not seen by bank managers as credit-worthy customers.

Yunus came to understand the immediate problem as one of reducing the risks to commercial banks of investing in Grameen in the face of uncertainty as to how his new loan repayment model would work out.  So he went to the Ford Foundation’s office in Dhaka and asked for an $800,000 loan guarantee fund as security against commercial bank lending.  After careful appraisal by senior staff, Ford agreed to the request and deposited the requested funds3 in a Grameen account at a London bank.  Bangladeshi banks in turn agreed to Grameen’s request to capitalize the planned expansion of operations, on commercial terms.  The new repayment model worked, the commercial banks got their money back with interest, and the rest, as it were, is history.  Yunus had made good on his initial assurances to the foundation that he would never have to dip into the loan guarantee fund.  “The fact that it is there” he told Ford staff, “will do the magic.”4

I find the story of this partnership between Muhammad Yunus and the Ford Foundation compelling in a number of ways.  Most importantly, it demonstrates how private foundations are able to take on risk on behalf of new approaches to poverty reduction in ways that other institutions, including financial institutions such as commercial banks and publicly-financed donors such the US Agency for International Development (USAID), often cannot. Once the new ideas and practices that foundations are willing to fund initially are proven, banks, governments and other kinds of donors are more likely to incorporate them into their own work and in ways that may have far-reaching impact on the lives of poor people.

Building on the case study of Muhammad Yunus and the Grameen Bank, this paper seeks to explain why foundations are better able to support risky but potentially ground-breaking new approaches to poverty reduction in ways that other kinds of institutions cannot.  It is not clear that foundations for which poverty reduction is a priority take full advantage of their distinctive ability to support innovative work.  As a result, opportunities to foster essential changes in the policies and practices of key institutions—including in government and the private sector—that very directly affect the lives of poor people may be lost.  The paper concludes with recommendations on how foundations concerned with poverty reduction might make fuller use of their distinctive and important advantages.

Foundations can bear greater levels of risk than other kinds of institutions.

Various categories of organizations display different kinds of accountability regimes. An accountability regime is the mix of formal rules and informal protocols and conventions—public and private, external and internal, moral and ethical—that condition organizational decision making in the face of opportunity, uncertainty and risk.

The Grameen case suggests that the differences in accountability regimes faced by foundations and commercial banks have implications for their respective tolerances for certain kinds of risk.  If Yunus’ experiment had failed one might imagine the president of the Ford Foundation telling his board, “Well, we appraised this very carefully. It seemed like a good idea.  And supporting ideas that have promise of giving poor people better access to opportunity is part of what we do. Taking on risk requires us to be prepared to accept a certain amount of failure.” One might imagine a sadly different conversation in the bank’s board room if the loan had failed and the manager had approved it in the absence of Ford’s loan guarantee.

Comparing accountability regimes of for-profit organizations like banks with not-for-profit organizations such as foundations presents some interesting “apple-and-orange” analytical challenges.  For private firms, accountability is directly connected to performance in competitive market environments.  Survival, profitability and investment returns are among the precise and rigorous criteria against which the market and shareholders evaluate private firms and their executives and boards.  The tax-exemption granted to foundations and other nonprofit organizations is not based on demonstrating measurable results, but upon pursuing a recognized charitable mission with the intention of providing social benefit.

Importantly, accountability regimes vary among different kinds of donors engaged in international development and poverty reduction.  The World Bank is governed by a board consisting of 22 national governments, its loans are negotiated with beneficiary governments, and it raises much of its finance in global financial markets.  World Bank policies and loans are subject to a particularly complexcombination of political scrutiny and market discipline that favors the orthodox and tested approach over the innovative and risky.

The US Agency for International Development (USAID) is an entity of the US Department of State, and in addition to its important development work, serves a variety of US national and global political interests.  Unlike foundations, USAID’s funding is appropriated directly from the federal budget and its policy and programming decisions are subject to high levels of Congressional scrutiny.  USAID’s mission, goals and budget are subject to a great number of claims and pressures from a diverse community of constituency groups.  USAID has numerous political detractors, often making administrators averse to taking on innovative and risky projects where they would have to explain before Congress the “waste” of taxpayers’ dollars if they should fail.   The World Bank, USAID and other large multilateral and bilateral donors have a mandate to fund major sector development programs, often involving large investments in agricultural, transportation, educational and health infrastructure, at levels of expenditure significantly beyond the budgets of foundations.

Philanthropic accountability regimes are, on the other hand, arguably simplerand less subject to close public supervision or market discipline.5  Foundations are accountable through US tax law for assuring the public that tax-exempt foundation dollars are being used for bona fide tax-exempt purposes, such as for education, health care, research and charitable relief.  In 1969, Congress passed legislation requiring foundations to pay out five percent of the value of their endowment annually on charitable works and management costs.6  Foundations have an ethical responsibility not tospend lavish amounts of money on themselves, taking into account the need to employ and adequately reward professional staff to shape programs and manage and monitor grant portfolios.  If particularly risky ventures should fail, they do not have to pay anyone back.  These considerations have from time to time accommodated, I believe, a greater appetite for supporting innovative and risky work—such as the early development of microfinance—among philanthropic donors than institutions such as the World Bank and USAID.

In fact, where new ideas developed with philanthropic funding show promising results (in other words, are looking less risky), publicly-financed donors are often willing to provide funding support at levels that may enable the work to be brought to scale in ways that foundations, with their smaller budgets, cannot.  Indeed, microfinance programs are today ubiquitous elements in the poverty-reduction strategies of the World Bank, USAID and a great number of other donors.

Do we see a greater proclivity on the part of foundations to support experimental and risky approaches to poverty reduction than say the World Bank or USAID?  The data and even methodology needed to offer a conclusive answer to this question are lacking.7  However, a recent unpublished study summarizing interviews with current or former executives of seven of the largest fifteen US foundations that fund poverty reduction in developing countries provides some useful insight.  The study found that supporting innovative programs does not appear to be a central tenet of philanthropic strategy.8  The study drew the following conclusions:

Support for explicitly innovative approaches to poverty reduction is a small and probably decreasing part of what foundations do.

High expectations on the part of foundation boards and top executives that foundation-funded programs show positive, early and measurable impact reduce tolerance for innovation and risk.

While foundation leaders recognize the value of supporting local leaders and organizations, they are reluctant to fund non-US 501(c)3 organizations, especially when the granting foundation does not have an office in the country where the work is being carried out.  US organizations perform reliably and to a high standard, but they are wedded to organization-wide policies and practices that may not be inviting of local innovation.

Post-9/11 international compliance regulations and legal uncertainties are having a chilling effect on making grants to non-US organizations.

Although these findings are based on a small number of interviews, they are not surprising in light of the diversity of the US philanthropic community.  In the words of Joel Fleishman, “Every foundation is sui generis, each reflecting the personalities, values, goals, and talents of the key people behind it.”9  Foundation program priorities may be quite firmly established by their founders, and may or may not encompass areas of endeavor where systemic social or institutional change is considered an ultimate measure of achievement.

Surely, trustees would imagine their stewardship responsibilities to extend to ensuring some discernable impact from the programs and grants they approve.  US philanthropy provides the US and the world great service through its support for educational, health care and arts institutions that yield clear social benefits not dependent on achievement of systemic changes in governance or markets.

That said, it should also be clear that the kinds of systemic changes exemplified by Yunus’ new model for bank lending are needed in greater number and in many places around the world if significant progress is to be made in reducing poverty.

Powerful ideas come from outside of foundations.

Good ideas have many sources of inspiration, but the powerful insights that Muhammad Yunus had about banks and their underserved but potentially viable clients in rural Bangladesh had very particular antecedents.  Yunus lived and worked near to the community he wished to serve, he had an intimate knowledge of his country’s social, economic and political institutions, and he applied what are clearly strong analytical skills and intuitive powers to the problems he encountered.  He also demonstrated a talent for persuading leaders of key institutions—banks, government agencies,foundations and other donors—of the potential viability of his ideas.  A person of thought and action, an insightful analyst and incisive leader, Yunus is a model of the kind of rare social innovator that foundations should be most receptive to supporting.

The example of Muhammad Yunus’ partnership with the Ford Foundation suggests some lessons for the posture of foundations and the role of foundation program staff in relation to prospective grantees.

First, foundations should have their doors wide open to the potentially powerful ideas of people outside of philanthropy who are in a position to test and champion those ideas in the complex social, economic and political environments in which they live and work.  That Yunus did not have to penetrate several layers of Ford Foundation bureaucracy is a testament to the Foundation’s understanding that vital experience and knowledge is located throughout the societies in which Ford made grants, and not only in its offices in Dhaka and New York.  Foundation program staff should be constantly in search of people distinguished for the sophistication and power of their ideas and their practical understanding of what it takes to bring about meaningful change in their societies.

Moreover, the Grameen Bank case illustrates the difference between general knowledge of markets and market institutions, such as commercial banks, and particularistic knowledge of the differing social and cultural environments in which banks may operate, and the importance of having commandover both.  It was an axiom of development economics that a constraint to the flow of commercial credit to poor people was their inability to marshal collateral.  It required Yunus’ particular knowledge of Bangladeshi rural society and cultural resources to fashion a socially-mediated set of protocols and incentives for assuring loan repayment.

Program staff should have strong conceptual and analytical skills and a considerable amount of general knowledge about the societies in which they work. Foundation staff should not be asked to shape highly detailed and specific program strategies within their fields of general responsibility.  Narrow program frames may have the effect of prematurely rejecting consideration of potentially powerful ideas because they“don’t fit my program.”  For instance, where a foundation makes a commitment to supporting microfinance institutions and staffs its poverty division with mainly microfinance specialists, it is increasing the possibility that unforeseen future breakthroughideas for reducing poverty that are not related to microfinance get overlooked.  Being alert to changes in the big picture is a vital staff capacity.

Board members can encourage the foundations they steward to be more open to the ideas of social innovators.  By conveying a passion for innovation and an understanding that successful innovations typically emerge only after prolonged periods of trial and error, boards can sanction risk taking on the part of executives and staff.  Board members surely must take account of organizational mission, founders’ intent and their traditional fiduciary responsibilities, but observance of these responsibilities should in no way preclude openness to the powerful ideas of individuals and organizations working close to the problems.10

Efforts to better measure impact are a good thing, but they should not have an inadvertent chilling effect on innovation.

It is essential that current calls for greater foundation accountability not put the brakes to philanthropy’s unique capacity to support innovation.  Surely, certain improvements in accountability protocols are appropriate.  Some foundations have clarified and tightened internal decision-making processes to reduce the danger of trustee conflicts of interest.  Resources are being set aside to support evaluations and impact assessments.  A number of foundations are making efforts to invite beneficiary communities and grantees into discussions about strategy and impact.  These efforts may have the positive effect of giving the public greater overall confidence in foundation governance and management in ways that may come to increase the public’s tolerance for foundation risk-taking.

The growing emphasis on quantitative measures of short-term impact can, however, shift the energies and attention of foundation program officers and grantees away from the hard work of fostering the kinds of systemic changes that are often needed to improve the lives of poor people.  In a recent speech at Bates College, former Ford Foundation president Susan Berresford warned of the danger of “miniaturizing ambition” when foundations put too much pressure on themselves and on grantees to demonstrate short-term, measurable impacts.  When your goal is social justice, the relevant indices can be amorphous and hard to define, but their long-term and systemic impacts can eventually be described.  They may indeed speak to significant achievements.

Short-term performance indices alone have limited value in evaluating systemic change and are insufficient measures of its ultimate achievement. In my view, the kind of social entrepreneurism represented by Muhammad Yunus was concerned with fostering new ideas about how financial institutions could refashion their practices and programs in ways to better serve poor people.  This view of social entrepreneurship, which focuses on the force of ideas rather than charismatic personalities alone, “moves the field toward defining entrepreneurship in a broader way that includes organizational and administrative reforms.”11   Actual achievement of essential reforms is the kind of practical measure of impact that evaluators concerned with systemic change should be following over time.

Achieving systemic change requires foundations and their grantees to work with governments, the private sector and publicly-funded donors early in the life-cycle of a promising idea.

For Muhammad Yunus, the essential goal was changing the lending policies of commercial banks in ways that gave poor people access to credit.  Yunus told Adrienne Germain, the Ford Foundation representative in Dhaka in 1981, “I want to offer a guarantee to the commercial bankers who are supporting us so that they can’t back out of the expansion because it is too risky.”12Importantly, commercial banks were participants in the experiment from the outset, their participation facilitated by the Ford loan guarantee fund.

US philanthropies principally funded public institutions in the first thirty years of their engagement in developing countries, from the early 1950s to the early 1980s.  For a number of reasons, the Ford and Rockefeller foundations began in the late 1970s and early 1980s to shift their funding away from government agencies, public universities and research institutes and quasi-independent development banks toward nonprofit organizations.  Nonprofit organizations were seen to be less subject to the bureaucratic and political constraints of government and were often led by resourceful, dedicated and innovative new leaders.  Significantly, large foundations that have begun funding internationally in recent years, such as Gates, Atlantic Philanthropies, Starr, Hewlett and Packard, have followed in the path forged by Ford and Rockefeller of principally funding nonprofit organizations.

Foundation funding has arguably proven decisive to the growth and independence of civil society in many countries around the world.  But one of the consequences of the historic shift of foundation funding to the nonprofit sector is narrowed scope for direct engagement by foundations with governments on important public policy questions. This need not necessarily be a problem when the NGOs funded by foundations are engaging effectively with their governments on matters of shared interest.  But problems do arise, in my view, where NGOs are not mixing it up with governments where current public policy is an impediment to the achievement of a program’s goals, or where new government policies can bring considerable benefit.  Governments, the private sector and large, traditional nonprofit institutions such as churches are vitally important institutions, and their policies toward the poor are often what foundations and civil society should be seeking to influence as a matter of priority.

We are not able to assess the record of transfer of promising new ideas from civil society to mainstream institutions in this paper. That record merits study.  The lesson of Grameen is that when Yunus began to test the new lending model beyond the relatively controlled confines of his home district, he purposely engaged the institutions he understood he had to change—commercial banks—in the experiment from the outset.  Yunus suffered considerable frustration as a result of his very early engagement with the Bangladesh Central Bank and a number of commercial banks.  Officials of these institutions were endlessly skeptical of the viability of his plans.  But his early encounters with state officials and commercial bankers deepened his understanding of the obstacles he had to overcome to change the banking system fundamentally.

The risks and rewards of philanthropic freedom.

Bearing risk on behalf of social and institutional changes that give poor people greater access to the benefits of markets, education, health care and political representation and human rights is philanthropy’s great opportunity. I believe that foundations enjoy greater public sanction to carry risk on behalf of social innovation than many philanthropists and foundation executives appreciate.  I also believe that, while the kind of insightful thinking and astute leadership qualities demonstrated by Muhammad Yunus are not commonplace, foundations can make no better contribution than to look outward and support people of comparable judgment and experience and the organizations and movements that they lead.  I also believe that foundations have greater impact when they support efforts to change how governments, the private sector and other institutions that touch the lives of poor people respond to their circumstances and problems.

Poor people in developing countries live with uncertainty and bear risks on behalf of a better life that few of those who live in developed countries can imagine.  Their prospects are made harder when key institutions, public and private, national and international, can’t figure out how to bend and refashion their own purposes and policies in ways that give poor people access to the kinds of resources, benefits and protections those with greater wealth take for granted.  This was Muhammad Yunus’ great achievement.  He saw in poor farmers and business people considerable entrepreneurial acumen stymied by lack of access to loan capital.  Yunus fashioned an experiment using Ford Foundation risk capital that changed fundamentally how commercial banks in Bangladesh viewed the credit-worthiness of poor people.  It was a marvelous partnership, and one that speaks to the great promise and potential of private philanthropy when it undertakes to bear risk on behalf of social innovation.

Steven Lawry is senior research fellow at the Hauser Center for Nonprofit Organizations at Harvard University, where he co-leads a research program on transnational philanthropy and poverty reduction.  He held a variety of positions at the Ford Foundation between 1992 and 2006, including representative for the Middle East and North Africa from 1997 to 2001.  He was president of Antioch College from January 2006 to August 2007.

The author is grateful to Ashley Berendt, graduate student at the Harvard Divinity School, for her research assistance.   He wishes also to thank Charles Bailey, Susan Berresford, L. David Brown, James Honan, Jan Jaffe, Laura Johnston and Tony Pipa for their comments.

1 Yunus, M. Banker to the Poor(New York: PublicAffairs, 2003).

2 Ibid, 112.

3 Ford Foundation records indicate that the exact amount of the loan guarantee fund was $770,000, consisting of a $154,000 recoverable grant to cover the first 2% of the value of possible loan defaults and $616,000 in the form of aProgram Related Investment (PRI) to cover the subsequent 8% (Recommendation for Grant/Program Related Investment, The Ford Foundation, May 21, 1981). The unused funds were rolled over into a new grant to Grameen, in 1983, in support of research on small-scale enterprises and to provide loan guarantees to experimental group-owned enterprises.  In assessing the experience of the initial grant and PRI, Ford staff recommending that the funds be rolled over into a new grant action noted, “The loan default rate that the banks feared never materialized and the recoverable grant was not used.” (Recommendation for Grant Action and Program Related Investment, The Ford Foundation, May 31, 1983, p. 10)

4 Yunus, M. Banker to the Poor, 113.

5 Some critics of large philanthropies argue that the tax exemption granted expenditures on charitable activities justifies much greater public supervision of foundation activities than is currently the case.  See 11 for example: Arnove, R. and Pinede, N. “Revisiting the Big Three,” Critical Sociology, no. 33 (2007) 389-425.

6 The Tax Reform Act of 1969 provides that foundations disburse 5 % of the average fair market value of their investment assets annually.

7 The Hauser Center for Nonprofit Organizations seeks to assist in filling this gap with the research project: Philanthropy, Civil Society and Development Breakthroughs.

8 Bastante, S. The Strategic Role of US Private Foundationsin Poverty Reduction in Development Countries: Are They Supporting Innovation?(Cambridge, MA: Hauser Center for Nonprofit Organizations & Harvard Kennedy School, May 2008).

9 Fleishman, J. The Foundation(New York: PublicAffairs, 2007) 28.

10 A consultant commissioned by the Ford Foundation’s Dhaka office in 1986 to review Ford’s early grant support for Grameen noted in his report that “The Foundation’s own contribution has been its flexible and timely support which proved critical in enabling Grameen Bank to keep up momentum and to maintain the supportive environment in which creative individuals like Dr. Yunus best flourish.” (Ford Foundation Memorandum, “Close out of grants #810-0578 and #810-0579: Grameen Bank,” March 30, 1986).

11 Light, P.C. “Reshaping Social Entrepreneurship,” Stanford Social Innovation Review, (Fall 2006) 50.

12 Yunus, M. Banker to the Poor, 113.

Note from Dick Magat

Filed under: Members' Blog — Treasurer @ 1:09 pm

Submitted by Dick Magat, who worked from 1957 to 1983 in the Office of Reports.

The Bronx Home News, celebrated in the various  obituaries of Daniel Schorr as the place of his first journalistic triumph has another claim to fame. One day in 1917. the paper ran the following banner headline on its first page: “Bronx Man Leads Russian Revolt.” It seems that Leon Trotsky lived in the Bronx for a short while, and this paper grabbed for a local angle. Unfortunately the Times obituary neglected a salient chapter in Schorr’s life—his attendance at DeWitt Clinton High School, my own alma mater by the way.

Note from Willard Hertz

Filed under: Members' Blog — Treasurer @ 1:05 pm

Sent by Willard Hertz, who from 1958 to 1981 worked in the International Division, the Office of Reports and the Office of the Secretary and General Counsel.

I have now added to the clients for my program notes the Bay Chamber Concerts of Rockport, Maine. At a concert earlier this month, Enid Schoettle and I were both in the audience.  After the concert, we greeted one another and caught up for a few minutes.  Enid is now an independent consultant, spending her summers at nearby Camden, Maine, which has a large colony of retired State Department and CIA staffers.

When Too Much Rigor Leads to Rigor Mortis: Valuing Experience, Judgment and Intuition in Nonprofit Management

Filed under: Members' Blog — Treasurer @ 12:54 pm

By Steven Lawry, who from 1992 to 2006 was Program Officer in Namibia, Representative in Cairo and Director in the Office of Management Services.

Several powerful donors have concluded that nonprofits make inadequate use of impact assessment tools.  They are backing up their arguments with an implicit threat: measure in particular ways or you don’t get the money.  Wise nonprofit leaders know that the problems they work on are not susceptible to simple measurement.  They know that the kind of formal impact measures some donors expect and management consulting firms prescribe are hard to come by honestly.  They collect various data all the time to inform their judgment and decision-making and to spur learning. Now, data collection (to donor-specified standards) is increasingly used for accountability purposes.

This may have the effect of reducing the degrees of freedom nonprofit leaders have to innovate and to pursue promising but risky ideas (without the fear that failure to prove one idea will poison their chances to learn from that failure and try something else another day).   As former Ford Foundation President Susan Berresford argues, insisting that grantees demonstrate measureable, short-term impact can have the effect of “miniaturizing ambition” for doing risky but potentially break-through work.

People who impose these restrictions confuse use of prescribed tools or achievement of certain outcomes as evidence of good management.  Sometimes they are. But, in and of themselves, they hardly constitute an impressive tool kit of good management practice.

The good judgment of experienced managers, deeply immersed in the complex social dynamics of the communities in which they work, is a formidable and essential resource in assessing impacts.  Experience and tested judgment also come into play in shaping a picture of the complex variety of social factors that might explain, for instance, why some poor children and not others attend school, or what mix of interventions are most likely to keep kids out of trouble with the police.

Effective nonprofit managers get information from a variety of sources: formal studies, observation of trends in behavior, feedback from partners and clients. They also draw on deep reserves of knowledge of the local social context, of cultural norms and values, and on the ability to empathize, to look at the world through the eyes of others.

These sources of knowledge are particularly important in shaping untested but potentially innovative, breakthrough approaches to social change. Effective leaders first and foremost seek to explain how a given problem is responding to a given set of interventions.  Data help describe what is happening, but the interpretative powers of managers are essential to meaningful explanation.

One of my favorite examples (see working paper here) of the kinds of insights that arise from observation, judgment and experience is the particular knowledge that Muhammad Yunus gained from walking through poor communities around Chittagong University on his daily walk to work.  His knowledge of rural Bangladeshi society, combined with his advanced training and powers of intuition, spawned his ideas on social lending, or what became known as micro-finance.

The invention of micro-finance demonstrates that breakthrough innovations, and even simple adjustments to well-established programs, are spawned by a variety of sources and intellectual attributes:  data, data intelligently interpreted, knowledge of the local and comparative contexts, and good judgment.  All four of these factors are essential to shaping development breakthroughs.  Donors should give greater weight to the latter three over the first in considering funding proposals.

A recently published book on the use of applied mathematics to help understand messy, hard-to-measure problems speaks to the importance of experience and judgment in making sense of limited data.  The book is Street-Fighting Mathematics: the Art of Educated Guessing and Opportunistic Problem Solving, byDr. Sanjoy Mahajan.  Dr Mahajan is associate director of MIT’s Teaching and Learning Laboratory and the book grew out of a course by the same name that Dr. Mahajan taught for several years at MIT.

The basic premise of his approach, set out in the books first sentence, is that “Too much rigor teaches rigor mortis: the fear of making an unjustified leap even when it lands on the correct result.”  Many real-world problems are not easily described with the kind of precision that professional mathematicians insist upon. This is due to the limitations of data, the costs of collecting and analyzing data, and the inherent difficulties of giving mathematical expression to the complexity of human behavior.
In the face of these obstacles, mathematicians tend to do one of two things: insist on finding the true proof, even in the face of huge methodological constraints (rigor mortis) or give up.

Mahajan counsels a third-way: using mathematical reasoning to find a good-enough, approximate and usually valid and useful answer; or as Dr. Mahajan so adeptly puts it, “When the going gets tough, the tough lower their standards” (p. 99).  His book describes six tools for better understanding complex problems with limited data, including picture proofs, lumping, and reasoning by analogy.

There is wisdom in Dr. Mahajan’s core argument that is relevant to current debates about the place of impact assessment in program management.  Many problems, especially problems of social analysis, present huge problems of description and accurate measurement.  We can learn much of what we need to know by tracking a few data points, but knowledge of the underlying social forces and personal motivations that frame the decisions people make is essential to specifying what should be measured and interpreting findings wisely.

My concerns about the emphasis some donors give to evaluation and impact assessment lie not in their lack of value, but in a skewing of perspective.  I want to sum up with a few thoughts on getting the perspective in better balance.

  • Knowledge of the local context and the insights spawned by that knowledge are hard won and accumulated over many years. External donors and many of their staff too often don’t possess such knowledge.  For large Western donors, reliance on data and impact measures can be a crutch, a substitute for the knowledge of local context they don’t have.
  • Lack of knowledge of context contributes to an overreliance on one-size-fits-all interventions based on experience from elsewhere, resulting in poorly-adapted local project design.   An obvious remedy is to place greater trust in the leadership and judgment of people who live and work close to the problems; local educators, entrepreneurs, civil society leaders.
  • Evaluation is first and foremost a learning tool, of greatest value as an aid to the judgment of program leaders and managers. The work of donors also stands to benefit from the knowledge that grantees gain in assessing changes within the communities they work and progress in pursuing particular goals.
  • Of greatest relevance to predicting the merits and eventual success of a proposed grantee initiative are the wisdom, experience, judgment and reputation of the grantee organization and its leadership and staff.   These are the important qualities that should be considered when contemplating a grant.  (William Duggan’s book, Strategic Intuition, examines the qualities of leadership and management that spawn systemic impacts.)
  • Donors who insist on short-term measurable impact should stay away from funding work that seeks breakthroughs on complex, long-intractable problems.

Steven Lawry, Senior Research Fellow at the Hauser Center for Nonprofit Organizations, is currently based in Juba, Southern Sudan, where he heads a USAID-funded project assisting the Government of Southern Sudan to develop a new land policy.

Corporate Control of Our Democracy: Citizens United v. Federal Election Commission

Filed under: Members' Blog — Treasurer @ 12:45 pm

by Radhika Balakrishnan, former Program Officer in the Asia Programs and James Heintz

from The Huffington Post of July 28, 2010

This January the U.S. Supreme Court issued a shattering ruling that will intensify corporate influence in our democracy to an unprecedented degree. In Citizens United v. Federal Election Commission, the Court ruled that government restrictions on corporate election spending are unconstitutional because such restrictions violated corporations’ right to free speech as set out in the first amendment of the Bill of Rights. In effect, the Court was evoking a core civil right to advance corporate power. This is a dangerous precedent, one that will undermine the obligation of the government to respect and protect human rights by giving corporations full reign to advance their own interests in the democratic - yet increasingly plutocratic - United States.

The idea that corporations have the same rights as you and me comes from a Supreme Court decision over 120 years ago - Santa Clara County v. Southern Pacific Railroad (1886) - the focus of which was whether railroads could deduct their debts from the value of their property for tax purposes. The Supreme Court laid down a much broader ruling, effectively stating that corporations should enjoy the same equal protections under the law as individuals. Equal protection under the law was spelled out in the 14th Amendment which was adopted following the Civil War. The original motivation for the amendment had little to do with advancing corporate influence. It overturned the Dred Scott decision (in which slaves were denied citizenship) and laid the groundwork for ending segregation in the U.S. and subsequent civil rights laws.

The Santa Clara County v. Southern Pacific Railroad decision extended the individual human rights of real people, including those in the Bill of Rights, to corporations whose personhood is simply a legal contrivance. The current Court has now decided that such protections guarantee the right of corporations to use their substantial economic clout to influence election outcomes.

None of this would matter of course if money played no role in politics. But in the U.S., campaign spending is of paramount importance. The Center for Responsive Politics, which tracks campaign spending over election cycles, found that in 2008, winners of Senate races spent an average of $8,531,267 on their campaigns, while losers spent less than half this amount, $4,130,078. In election contests for seats in the House, the ratio approached three to one - winners spent an average of $1,372,539 while losers were able to muster only $492,928.

In addition, a recent report from the International Monetary Fund found that there was a direct link between the political contributions of companies and the risky behavior behind the financial crisis. They show that “lenders that lobby more intensively on these specific issues have (i) more lax lending standards measured by loan-to-income ratio, (ii) greater tendency to securitize, and (iii) faster growing mortgage loan portfolios.” The increasing influence of campaign contributions dilutes the ability of the government to set up regulations that stabilize the economy and ensure economic and social rights.

Corporations do not act with impunity and cannot always claim first amendment protections. An important legal distinction is made between ‘free speech’ and ‘commercial speech’. What’s the difference? Commercial speech is done on behalf of a business in order to help that business make a profit. Therefore, it has a different legal standing than other categories of speech. Commercial speech can be regulated if there are potentially harmful consequences of such speech. For example, pharmaceutical companies are not free to make false (and possibly life-threatening) claims about their products simply to boost their market share. The Food and Drug Administration still regulates such ’speech’.

Not everyone agrees that commercial speech should be regulated differently - let alone the current Supreme Court justices. Justice Thomas, in an opinion on the 1996 case 44 Liquormart, Inc. v. Rhode Island, said that “I do not see a philosophical or historical basis for asserting that ‘commercial’ speech is of ‘lower value’ than ‘noncommercial’ speech.” Thomas is an adamant supporter of the ruling that first amendment protections should be extended to corporate campaign contributions.

The lines between commercial speech and free speech have always been blurry and have become increasingly so in recent years. This is not a trivial development. The government cannot regulate corporate activities which have been judged to constitute free speech.

Consider the role of the credit ratings agencies in the economic crisis. These companies are meant to assess the risks of financial products and to provide accurate information to investors. Three large U.S. corporations dominate the ratings industry globally - Standard & Poors, Moody’s, and Fitch. These firms gave excessively favorable ratings to the mortgage-back securities behind the current economic crisis. Many of the securities received the highest possible rating - triple-A - even though the risks underlying these assets were far greater. The ratings agencies were only too glad to give high marks, since they were paid by the people requesting the ratings, a fundamental conflict of interest. Corporate profits soared, at least until the financial markets crashed - causing people to lose their homes, their jobs, and much of the value of their pensions. With an accurate assessment of the risk associated with these securities, the financial crisis would probably not have happened at all.

The ratings industry has claimed that it should be sheltered from liability and future regulation, since their credit ratings represent mere ‘public opinions’ which should enjoy first amendment protections. Federal Judge Shira Scheindlin disagreed last year, opening the way for the ratings agencies to be sued for their actions. However, the ‘free speech’ argument has been used in the past to stave off efforts to regulate the industry and will likely resurface again as the issue makes its way through the courts.

Those who think corporations should enjoy free speech protections often argue that corporations just represent groups of people, shareholders, and any group of people is entitled to its opinion. ‘Freedom of association’ guarantees the right to form groups in order to advance particular viewpoints. The proponents of first amendment protections for corporations argue that corporations simply represent one way of forming a group among like-minded people.

But corporations are institutions with significant economic power. That’s why laws exist to prevent people from coming together with the purpose of exploiting their collective economic might in ways that impose costs on society. Anti-trust laws prevent collusive action and price setting behavior. Adam Smith, who is frequently evoked to support a free-market doctrine, famously wrote, “People of the same trade seldom meet together even for merriment and diversion, but the conversation ends in a conspiracy against the public or some contrivance to raise prices.” It is the very real possibility of conspiracies against the public which justify different rules for corporations.

But the Supreme Court ruling would have us believe differently. It is not okay for corporations to exert undue influence on market prices, but it is fine for them to exert undue influence in democratic elections. Once in office, representatives whose campaigns depended on corporate donations would be loathe to enact legislation which goes against their supporter’s interest. Policies will mirror the corporate agenda even more than they do today. The role of insurance companies in determining our healthcare choices will be harder to question, the labor protections that currently exist will be increasingly difficult to maintain, and struggles to hold corporations liable for their actions will become more challenging. Such issues are of enormous concern as we reflect on the aftermath of the financial crisis, the slow progress on climate change, or BP’s disastrous oil spillage in the Gulf of Mexico.

Supreme Court decisions have held a prominent place in the history of human rights in the U.S. Progress has been achieved when unjust decisions have been overturned. We only have to think of the watershed case, Brown v. the Board of Education, to understand the importance of overturning an earlier injustice. The ruling on corporate campaign contributions represents an historic step backwards for the country. If human rights are to stand a chance against corporate rights, this decision must be overturned.

July 26, 2010

Building Savings Gateways for the Poor

Filed under: Members' Blog — Chris Page @ 11:49 am

Three former Foundation staff members, James Hokans (Urban Poverty, Nairobi, 1987-1992), Chris Page (Rural Poverty/Economic Development, New York, 1992-1999) and Jennefer Sebstad (Rural Community Development/Women’s Employment, Nairobi, 1984-1988) have joined forces on an innovative project to improve access to financial services for the poor.

The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation recently announced a three-year $9.5 million grant to the nonprofit Rockefeller Philanthropy Advisors (RPA) in New York, where Chris is Senior Vice President. The grant supports Gateway Financial Innovations for Savings (GAFIS), a program that will work with financial institutions in five countries to create savings accounts that are affordable for poor families and profitable for banks over the long term. RPA has awarded the contract for field-based management of the program to Bankable Frontier Associates (BFA) in Boston where Jim is a Director. BFA is a niche consulting company with a successful track record in promoting financial inclusion for poor people, especially in the fields of technology, housing finance and social investment in emerging markets. Jennefer, currently based in Boulder, CO after stints in Ethiopia, Kenya, and India, is a development consultant on income, employment and asset building strategies. She has been appointed by RPA to serve with Chris on the GAFIS program advisory committee.

GAFIS will partner with large banks in Latin America, Asia, and Africa to develop or expand savings products and approaches, including those using mobile phone technologies. Among other things, GAFIS will explore savings opportunities for the estimated one hundred and fifty million people who make regular bank visits to collect government welfare payments and remittances. The program also will support market, product, and business research to help develop appropriate distribution channels for savings products and encourage families to keep a diary of their daily financial lives and needs. The resulting data is expected to inform the development and roll-out of new, large-scale, high-quality savings products by institutions participating in the program.

In addition to breaking through cultural and institutional barriers preventing the poor from building assets, all three Ford alums believe the outcomes will help to develop new banking models that can serve poor communities worldwide. Interested colleagues can monitor the progress at www.gatewaytosavings.org and learn more about RPA’s work at www.rockpa.org.

July 10, 2010

One mother’s life: Her children are Deborah Geithner’s ‘greatest gifts’

Filed under: Members' Blog — Treasurer @ 8:49 am

Deborah Geithner of Orleans is the mother of Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner and the wife of Peter Geithner who was with the Foundation from 1968 to 1996 in the International Division and the Developing Country Programs.  He is also the former president of The LAFF Society.

By Stephanie Foster

The Cape Codder

Posted May 07, 2010 @ 07:04 AM

ORLEANS —

Deborah Geithner will be alone with her husband, Peter, on Mother’s Day this Sunday but she won’t be lonely. Her Orleans home will be filled with flowers, laughter and the sound of a ringing phone.

One call will be from Washington, when her eldest child, Tim, 48, the Secretary of the Treasury, checks in. Sarah, 47, has already sent a card from Bangkok where she works for World Bank. Twin sons, Jon, 44, an analyst at the Center for Naval Analysis in Okinawa, and David, 44, a senior vice president at Time Inc., will telephone as well.

Geithner, a slender woman with soft russet hair and an easy smile, looks younger than her 71 years. Her home is as comfortable and relaxed as she is. Floor to ceiling windows fill the open spaces with so much light and airiness, it’s like being outdoors. Shelves and tables are filled with personal treasures that range from pottery to art and collections of “lucky” striped stones she will return to the beach one day. Origami, seashells and pinecones have the same importance as Oriental carpets, a carved Chinese screen and Swiss music box.

Casual though it may be, this is a cultured home filled with books, art and music. Two Steinways form a focal point on one side and an inviting sitting area on the other. Vases of flowers are everywhere. The whole attests to her love of life in all its colors and textures.

Known as a pianist and teacher, Geithner says, “Music is my life. I love to play the piano. I’ve gotten involved in chamber music on the Cape. It’s the making of music with other people I just love. I am crazy for it. And in my teaching, if I can expose students to pieces they love, that is all they need. Their life is enhanced.”

Geithner is surprisingly candid, a trait that keeps the Treasury’s public relations department on its toes. She says she went to college to find a husband. She selected Peter Geithner, her brother’s classmate at Dartmouth.

“My father brought me up to believe in diversity. It was a great coming together of people from different backgrounds. He was a government major and the captain of the basketball team and Phi Beta Kappa. He was very smart. The Navy put him through school. He was also a pilot. That was part of the whole romance. I snagged him just before my graduation. Poor Peter. He’s never quite gotten over it,” she says with a laugh. “It was a good gene contribution. It was what I dreamed of.”

Peter worked for Carbon International before she urged him to take a position with an American agency in Africa. They tucked tiny Tim into a backpack when they visited ancient civilizations in Zimbabwe where Sarah was born. Later, she bore twins in Washington. But their exotic travel wasn’t over. The family moved to India for five years, then Thailand for four when Peter worked for the Ford Foundation. “Obama was growing up in Indonesia when Tim was in India,” says Geithner, noting they are only two weeks apart in age.

World travel brought the Geithners closer together and the children are fiercely loyal to each other. “We had a rare life experience together. We went out as a family to foreign countries. We did a lot of traveling and grew up in strange, new houses together. We shared a lot.” With all the uprooting, she says, the Cape became the place for them to return to and provided a sense of unity in their lives.

Once a mother, always a mother

Geithner worries about all of her children. “The kids are on top of my heart list. When I wake up, I say to myself, ‘Who will it be today?’” With a troubled economy, Tim is a constant. “I have anxiety about the toll it takes on his family life. He’s had to make sacrifices and I don’t know the half of it. I listen closely to his voice on the phone and try to read it. I worry he doesn’t get enough sleep or exercise. I am very proud he is serving his country but no one had any idea of what it would be like for him, and Obama, and the whole nation.”

She displays a smiling baby photograph to prove that he does smile. “He has a great sense of humor and has always been a big tease. His high energy was apparent from the day of his birth.” Then, she points out her “shrine,” a grouping of photographs featuring Tim with the president. Her eyes crinkle in amusement. “He would be embarrassed if he knew,” she says. The other children suspect Tim is her favorite but she says it’s not true.

“Tim wrote me last spring about what he thought I have given him. I’ve kept it. But I won’t share it. It’s a personal tribute. The kids are all good at writing personal notes.”

Geithner loves being a mother. “I got married to have children. I don’t live through them but they are the greatest gifts of my life. I couldn’t have flourished as a wife and mother without the structure and stability of my husband. I’ve been fortunate. I had the good fortune to be able to pick him.”

July 9, 2010

Mexico a Failed State?

Filed under: Members' Blog — Treasurer @ 6:11 am

By Robert Schrank who was with the Foundation from 1970 to 1982.

I have been gathering data on the impact of the illegal drug business on Mexico. In todays paper there is another report of the ongoing killings that this time left 85 people dead in the last 24 hours. President Calderon keeps insisting that the “war” is the only way to go. This “war” is devastating to Mexico  Back in the sixties I did two stints in Mexico evaluating the Vocational Training Programs of the Instituto Nacional La Juventud. Though I had some problems with the programs I had none with the country. I drove freely from one small mountain town to another. Sometimes lost in unmarked mountain roads but never feeling any danger. I would often rush back to Mexico City so I could hangout at Garibaldi square with the Mariachi Bands. After their gigs at the clubs they would come there to play for each other. One night even played with them. As people yelled “Come see the Gringo playing with the Mariachi.”  I just loved that country.

From what I hear and what I read all that is gone. The Country is being taken over by the drug Mafia. Kidnapping is now an everyday occurrence. Doesn’t matter either for a few thousand or a million, whatever the family can afford to pay. But pay you must. Of the 31 States that make up the Republic I figure that close to half are being run by the drug Cartels. In many of the States if you want to get anything done you don’t bother with the government. You go directly to the Cartel bosses and you cut a deal with them. it’s a quid pro co. They do for you and soon you will do for them.

You ask, “how did this happen?” When Philipe Calderon took office as the President of Mexico in 2006 one of the first promises he made was to eradicate the Drug Cartels. Another dreamer going to “war” with the drug trade, Fifty thousand soldiers and twenty thousand Federal Police are assigned to this war and so far mostly what has happened is an increase in the blood letting in the streets. More than 25 thousand people have died in Mexico’s drug war since Calderon’s declaration. About 3500 so far this year. Things have gotten decidedly worse.

The crime syndicates that run the Cartels earn billions from production to the marketing of the drugs. Where is the biggest consumer demand coming from? Of course you guessed it. The good old USA. In the State of Michocan a recent estimate indicated that 85 percent of legitimate businesses are in one way or another connected to the Drug Cartels. Some years ago when the heat was on the Mafia here in New York there was a  movement into legitimate business. Today it is very difficult to disagregate the Mafia or La Familia, as it is known in Mexico, from business activity that is legal to the criminal. Recently Robert Mueller director of the FBI said, “We have dealt a substantial blow to a group that has polluted our neighborhoods with illicit drugs and has terrorized Mexico with unimaginable violence.”  This has got to be the umpteenth time in my life that I have heard that indignant self righteous crap in response to the drug trade, There have been an endless number of announcements about how we “have dealt a major blow. It is all bullshit.

The fact is that the drug trade in Mexico has infiltrated major parts of the government both locally and nationally. The country is reaching a point where the people no longer trust the local police anymore than they do the Federalies. That leaves a vacuum of authority.  In many of the 31 States in Mexico that vacuum is being filled by LaFamilia.

In a small way this was already beginning to happen when I worked in Mexico back in the 60ies. I was given a phone number by the wife of the Deputy Police Chief in Mexico City. She explained saying, “Roberto if you get in any kind of trouble out there in those mountain towns you are not to try to deal with the locals. You are just to call this number.” “Whose number is this?” I asked. Never mind these are the people who really run this country.”

In a small mountain town, sure enough, I got clobbered. Well, not exactly me but the car I was driving. I had spent the afternoon observing some training programs, had dinner with some of the locals. Went to go back to Mexico City. Turned the key. Nothing nada. Picked up the hood and low and behold. Carburetor, distributer, battery, starter, alternator etc. all gone. Ahaa, the phone number, Made the call asked for english por favor, explained my predicament. Was instructed to stay right there with the car and it would be taken care of. Sure enough within 10 minutes a guy pulls up in a pick up gets the parts out of the truck and puts them all back. I offer a tip. Absolutely not, no nessarrio. Wouldn’t take it. Unheard of in my experience down there. It was explained to me that this was the shadow organization that was already springing up as an alternative to a dysfunctional government.

This whole story of the drug Cartels tells me that Mexico is on the threshold of becoming a Failed State. Daily it is becoming clear that the agencies of government that are there to service its citizens are increasingly unable to do so. That is the definition of a Failed State, What’s Calderon to do? As I write the US is busy giving Mexico more helicopters as well as “training” on how to fight the drug cartels. Oh yes, this is like hiring the weasels to teach the fox to stay out of the chicken coop. Maybe when we figure out how to reduce the demand for the drugs in the US we might be in a position to help. Until then we should shutup and mind our own business of how to reduce the demand for drugs in this country.

President Calderon does have a golden opportunity to really change this whole Kabuki called “The War Against Drugs.”  Please Mr. President just go ahead and LEGALIZE IT. That would be world shaking. It would put the responsibility squarely where it belongs on the user market where the demand comes from. Mexico could make a major step toward financial stability by taxing the hell out of the legalized drug. Not unlike alcohol and cigarettes. It would be equal to our repeal of Prohibition back in the 30ies. It works in Turkey where they sell Morphine to the US pharmaceutical companies to make pain killers like Oxycodone. The third biggest selling prescription drug in the US. President Calderon once and for all stop this Kabuki called the “War on drugs” Good luck, you will need it.

July 8, 2010

Outgunned Police by Raymond C. Offenheiser

Filed under: Members' Blog — webmaster @ 12:48 pm

Raymond Offenheiser was a Program Officer and Acting Representative in the Andean and Southern Cone Office and Representative to the Bangladesh Country Office.

From Foreign Policy, July/August 2010

June 8, 2010

Obituary - Edgar O. Edwards

Filed under: Members' Blog — Treasurer @ 1:19 pm

Edgar O. Edwards was born in Foxborough, Massachusetts in 1919 and earned an associate of arts degree from Green Mountain College in 1939. Following service in the Pacific with the U. S. Army during World War II, he earned a bachelor’s degree from Washington and Jefferson College and masters and doctoral degrees in political economy from The Johns Hopkins University. Following nine years on the faculty of Princeton University, he was named Hargrove Professor of Economics at Rice University.  His work at The Ford Foundation included the following positions:

August 1963 to July 1965 - Project Specialist-Economics in Kenya advising the government

August 1965 to April 1966 - Consultant

September 1966 to September 1969 - Project Specialist-Economic Planning in Kenya

September 1969 to October 1974 - Economic Advisor for Asia and Pacific

November 1974 to April 1977 - Program Specialist -  Macro Economics in Nairobi

May 1977 to December 1977  - Program Specialist – Macro Economics In NY

He retired from the Foundation in December 1977, but continued to be a consultant until 1979.

Professor Edwards played important advisory roles for the governments of Kenya, Botswana, and Lebanon.  He is author or co-author of over a dozen books and monographs and more than 20 articles in scholarly journals bridging economic development, planning, and accounting, including the classic text on business income, “The Theory and Measurement of Business Income”, published in 1964 with Philip Bell.  Professor Edwards resided in Poultney, Vermont.  He passed away on June 5, 2010.   He is survived by his wife Jean and their three children, Kathryn, Carolyn, and Douglas.

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